{"id":"data-center-60b-2026-06","slug":"data-center-construction-above-60b-june-2026","question":"Will U.S. data-center construction spending be above $60B in June 2026?","role":"companion","contractType":"binary","resolutionMethod":"strict_threshold","status":"proposed","summary":"A round-number threshold contract on the official Data center construction series, published in millions of dollars SAAR.","whyItTrades":"The $60B line is memorable and close enough to the latest print to produce a balanced, easy-to-explain market.","resolutionObservation":"Whether the June 2026 Data center value is strictly greater than 60,000 million dollars SAAR.","formula":"June 2026 Data center SAAR > 60,000 (millions of dollars)","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"tiePolicy":"A published value of exactly 60,000 resolves No because the question says above $60B.","currentRead":"May 2026 preliminary was $59.307B SAAR, leaving a $693M gap, or about 1.17%, to finish above $60B.","currentStats":[{"label":"Latest value","value":"$59.307B","detail":"May 2026 preliminary"},{"label":"Threshold","value":">$60.000B","detail":"Strict comparison"},{"label":"Distance","value":"+$693M","detail":"+1.17% from May"}],"resolutionSteps":["Retrieve the first official Census private-SA workbook that contains a June 2026 preliminary observation.","Record the retrieval timestamp, workbook SHA-256, original Census URL, and an immutable Homecastr archive URI.","Read the published integer values in millions of dollars SAAR; do not substitute a forecast or later revision.","Read the June 2026 Data center value from the archived first-release workbook.","Resolve Yes only when the published value is greater than 60,000; resolve No at or below 60,000."],"page_path":"/prediction-markets/data-center-construction-above-60b-june-2026","resolution_source":{"publisher":"U.S. Census Bureau","dataset":"Value of Construction Put in Place","table":"Private construction, seasonally adjusted annual rate","landingPageUrl":"https://www.census.gov/construction/c30/historical_data.html","workbookUrl":"https://www.census.gov/construction/c30/xlsx/privsatime.xlsx","unit":"Millions of U.S. dollars at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR)"},"reference_snapshot":{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T00:00:00-04:00","currentPeriod":"May 2026 preliminary","comparisonPeriod":"April 2026 revised","dataCenterCurrent":59307,"dataCenterPrevious":58977,"dataCenterPriorRecord":59307,"threshold":60000},"release_policy":"first_official_release_containing_june_2026_preliminary","evidence_policy":{"required":["retrieved_at","source_url","sha256","immutable_archive_uri"],"note":"The Census source is public but requires a venue-approved oracle or attestation adapter for on-chain settlement."},"execution_policy":{"status":"proposal_only","liveMarketIds":[],"orderSubmissionEnabled":false,"capitalAllocationEnabled":false,"runtimeOverridesAllowed":false,"scoreAdmissionRegistry":"repository_owned_empty"}}