{"id":"data-center-fastest-2026-06","slug":"data-centers-fastest-growing-june-2026","question":"Will data centers be the fastest-growing U.S. construction category in June 2026?","role":"companion","contractType":"binary","resolutionMethod":"strict_fastest_growth","status":"proposed","summary":"A clean yes-or-no version of the Build Race for the most visible construction narrative in technology and power markets.","whyItTrades":"It translates the broad category race into a familiar thesis: is the data-center boom actually outrunning every other major construction category?","resolutionObservation":"Whether Data center has a strictly higher May-to-June percentage change than every other eligible category.","formula":"Data center MoM growth > max(other eligible category MoM growth)","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"tiePolicy":"An exact tie for the highest growth rate resolves No.","currentRead":"Data centers were second on the May reference tape, 0.55 percentage points behind transportation and fractionally ahead of communication.","currentStats":[{"label":"May data-center growth","value":"+0.56%","detail":"$58.977B to $59.307B SAAR"},{"label":"May leader","value":"+1.11%","detail":"Transportation"},{"label":"Gap to first","value":"0.55 pp","detail":"Reference month only"}],"resolutionSteps":["Retrieve the first official Census private-SA workbook that contains a June 2026 preliminary observation.","Record the retrieval timestamp, workbook SHA-256, original Census URL, and an immutable Homecastr archive URI.","Read the published integer values in millions of dollars SAAR; do not substitute a forecast or later revision.","Calculate the Data center month-over-month growth rate and every comparator rate without rounding the intermediate result.","Resolve Yes only if Data center is strictly greater than every comparator; otherwise resolve No."],"page_path":"/prediction-markets/data-centers-fastest-growing-june-2026","resolution_source":{"publisher":"U.S. Census Bureau","dataset":"Value of Construction Put in Place","table":"Private construction, seasonally adjusted annual rate","landingPageUrl":"https://www.census.gov/construction/c30/historical_data.html","workbookUrl":"https://www.census.gov/construction/c30/xlsx/privsatime.xlsx","unit":"Millions of U.S. dollars at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR)"},"reference_snapshot":{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T00:00:00-04:00","currentPeriod":"May 2026 preliminary","comparisonPeriod":"April 2026 revised","dataCenterCurrent":59307,"dataCenterPrevious":58977,"dataCenterPriorRecord":59307,"threshold":60000},"eligible_category_mapping":[{"outcome":"New single-family","sourceLabel":"New single family"},{"outcome":"New multifamily","sourceLabel":"New multifamily"},{"outcome":"Lodging","sourceLabel":"Lodging"},{"outcome":"General office","sourceLabel":"General"},{"outcome":"Data centers","sourceLabel":"Data center"},{"outcome":"Financial offices","sourceLabel":"Financial"},{"outcome":"Commercial","sourceLabel":"Commercial (inc. Farm)"},{"outcome":"Health care","sourceLabel":"Health care"},{"outcome":"Educational","sourceLabel":"Educational"},{"outcome":"Religious","sourceLabel":"Religious"},{"outcome":"Amusement and recreation","sourceLabel":"Amusement and Recreation"},{"outcome":"Transportation","sourceLabel":"Transportation"},{"outcome":"Communication","sourceLabel":"Communication"},{"outcome":"Power","sourceLabel":"Power (inc. Gas and Oil)"},{"outcome":"Manufacturing","sourceLabel":"Manufacturing"}],"release_policy":"first_official_release_containing_june_2026_preliminary","evidence_policy":{"required":["retrieved_at","source_url","sha256","immutable_archive_uri"],"note":"The Census source is public but requires a venue-approved oracle or attestation adapter for on-chain settlement."},"execution_policy":{"status":"proposal_only","liveMarketIds":[],"orderSubmissionEnabled":false,"capitalAllocationEnabled":false,"runtimeOverridesAllowed":false,"scoreAdmissionRegistry":"repository_owned_empty"}}