County 01058, AL · Census Tract 01058920801 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$377K
Downside (P10)
$179K
-52% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$445K
+18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.07M
+184% by 2030
Base case: +18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -52% to +184%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 01058 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $377K | $393K | $386K | $404K | $445K |
| YoY Change | +4.4% | -2.0% | +4.7% | +10.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $212K | $182K | $169K | $179K | |
| Upside (P90) | $672K | $761K | $912K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$247K to $566K
84.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$179K to $1.07M
200.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920500 | $365K | $628K | +72.3% |
| Tract 640000 | $410K | $594K | +44.7% |
| Tract 040008 | $465K | $623K | +34.0% |
| Tract 080000 | $590K | $699K | +18.5% |
| Tract 120009 | $619K | $684K | +10.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920500 | $365K | $628K | +72.3% |
| Tract 520007 | $94K | $147K | +55.8% |
| Tract 000000 | $86K | $133K | +53.7% |
| Tract 640000 | $410K | $594K | +44.7% |
| Tract 040008 | $465K | $623K | +34.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000000 | $86K | $133K | $128K |
| Tract 520007 | $94K | $147K | $174K |
| Tract 640000 | $410K | $594K | $832K |
| Tract 120009 | $619K | $684K | $919K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources