County 05555, AR · Census Tract 05555B02200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$205K
Downside (P10)
$141K
-31% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$266K
+30% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$460K
+124% by 2030
Base case: +30% by 2030, with a forecast range from -31% to +124%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 05555 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $205K | $243K | $251K | $261K | $266K |
| YoY Change | +18.5% | +3.3% | +3.7% | +2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $185K | $173K | $168K | $141K | |
| Upside (P90) | $324K | $372K | $418K | $460K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$178K to $246K
33.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$141K to $460K
120.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract C01000 | $197K | $297K | +50.9% |
| Tract C01400 | $235K | $357K | +52.2% |
| Tract B01200 | $242K | $364K | +50.2% |
| Tract C00600 | $151K | $247K | +63.6% |
| Tract B02300 | $262K | $356K | +35.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract C00600 | $151K | $247K | +63.6% |
| Tract C01400 | $235K | $357K | +52.2% |
| Tract C01000 | $197K | $297K | +50.9% |
| Tract B01200 | $242K | $364K | +50.2% |
| Tract B01500 | $268K | $402K | +50.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract C01000 | $197K | $297K | $230K |
| Tract C01400 | $235K | $357K | $230K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources