County 04055, AZ · Census Tract 04055006100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$164K
Downside (P10)
$145K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$229K
+40% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$348K
+113% by 2030
Base case: +40% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +113%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 04055 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $164K | $190K | $209K | $216K | $229K |
| YoY Change | +16.2% | +9.9% | +3.3% | +6.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $158K | $155K | $146K | $145K | |
| Upside (P90) | $240K | $297K | $319K | $348K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$143K to $193K
30.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$145K to $348K
88.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002400 | $167K | $260K | +55.9% |
| Tract 003800 | $170K | $282K | +66.3% |
| Tract 001900 | $171K | $244K | +42.9% |
| Tract 003900 | $172K | $248K | +44.4% |
| Tract 006500 | $174K | $263K | +50.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003800 | $170K | $282K | +66.3% |
| Tract 003600 | $123K | $196K | +59.2% |
| Tract 002400 | $167K | $260K | +55.9% |
| Tract 002800 | $193K | $296K | +53.6% |
| Tract 000800 | $141K | $216K | +53.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000100 | $122K | $181K | $154K |
| Tract 000200 | $141K | $207K | $166K |
| Tract 001800 | $137K | $208K | $180K |
| Tract 003600 | $123K | $196K | $182K |
| Tract 002200 | $136K | $204K | $190K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources