County 11505, DC · Census Tract 11505000769 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.13M
Downside (P10)
$981K
-54% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.48M
-31% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.04M
-4% by 2030
Base case: -31% by 2030, with a forecast range from -54% to -4%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 11505 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.1M | $2.1M | $1.8M | $1.5M | $1.5M |
| YoY Change | -2.3% | -15.1% | -13.8% | -3.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.5M | $1.2M | $1.0M | $981K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.5M | $2.3M | $2.1M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.77M to $2.40M
29.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$981K to $2.04M
71.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001182 | $2.23M | $1.66M | -25.5% |
| Tract 000646 | $2.23M | $1.55M | -30.8% |
| Tract 000361 | $2.24M | $1.62M | -27.5% |
| Tract 000921 | $2.28M | $1.57M | -31.3% |
| Tract 001069 | $2.30M | $1.71M | -25.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001661 | $1.72M | $1.35M | -21.4% |
| Tract 001360 | $1.70M | $1.31M | -22.6% |
| Tract 000808 | $1.63M | $1.26M | -22.6% |
| Tract 000303 | $1.51M | $1.16M | -23.2% |
| Tract 001027 | $2.42M | $1.83M | -24.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001425 | $1.59M | $1.17M | $922K |
| Tract 000646 | $2.23M | $1.55M | $972K |
| Tract 002068 | $1.91M | $1.40M | $992K |
| Tract 001247 | $1.68M | $1.19M | $1.00M |
| Tract 000248 | $1.56M | $1.11M | $1.00M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources