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Lee, FL · ZIP 33957 · Census Tract 12071080202 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.02M
Downside (P10)
$783K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.05M
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.36M
+34% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $623K | $655K | $727K | $750K | $749K | $811K | $842K | $913K | $881K | $969K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | +5.2% | +11.0% | +3.2% | -0.2% | +8.2% | +3.9% | +8.4% | -3.5% | +10.0% | +4.9% | +2.0% | -0.1% | +1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $814K | $779K | $783K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$814K to $1.23M
40.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$783K to $1.36M
54.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanibel | $995K | $1.05M | +6.0% | |
| Sanibel | $1.00M | $1.11M | +10.9% | |
| Sanibel Island | $953K | $1.04M | +9.3% | |
| Estero Island | $900K | $973K | +8.1% | |
| Bonita Springs (Tract 050321) | $923K | $992K | +7.5% | |
| Bonita Springs (Tract 050305) | $1.06M | $1.12M | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanibel | $995K | $1.05M | +6.0% | |
| Fort Myers | $817K | $989K | +21.0% | |
| Cape Coral (Tract 010205) | $328K | $395K | +20.4% | |
| North Fort Myers | $90K | $108K | +20.3% | |
| Lehigh Acres | $405K | $483K | +19.3% | |
| Cape Coral (Tract 010417) | $518K | $616K | +18.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanibel | $995K | $1.05M | $575K | |
| Fort Myers | $80K | $86K | $49K | |
| North Fort Myers (Tract 020802) | $69K | $72K | $43K | |
| North Fort Myers (Tract 010112) | $62K | $67K | $32K | |
| North Fort Myers (Tract 020801) | $63K | $64K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.