Miami, FL · ZIP 33172 · Census Tract 12086009010 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$534K
Downside (P10)
$433K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$629K
+18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$852K
+59% by 2030
Base case: +18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +59%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Miami markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $280K | $326K | $358K | $371K | $380K | $383K | $389K | $424K | $493K | $536K | $542K | $534K | $560K | $577K | $629K |
| YoY Change | +16.3% | +9.8% | +3.5% | +2.6% | +0.8% | +1.5% | +9.1% | +16.1% | +8.8% | +1.2% | -1.5% | +4.8% | +2.9% | +9.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $471K | $475K | $461K | $433K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $656K | $681K | $807K | $852K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$506K to $577K
13.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$433K to $852K
66.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Lakes | $533K | $652K | +22.3% |
| Coral Gables | $532K | $555K | +4.3% |
| North Miami | $538K | $622K | +15.8% |
| Little Havana | $531K | $576K | +8.6% |
| Little Haiti | $529K | $567K | +7.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Allapattah | $392K | $491K | +25.2% |
| Miami Lakes | $533K | $652K | +22.3% |
| Miami Gardens | $409K | $488K | +19.4% |
| Westchester | $480K | $570K | +18.7% |
| Kendall South | $466K | $553K | +18.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Gardens | $85K | $89K | $41K |
| Hialeah | $64K | $69K | $44K |
| Leisure City | $115K | $134K | $73K |
| Kendall West | $101K | $112K | $79K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources