County 12780, FL · Census Tract 12780680000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$4.67M
Downside (P10)
$1.56M
-67% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.73M
-42% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.40M
-27% by 2030
Base case: -42% by 2030, with a forecast range from -67% to -27%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 12780 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.7M | $4.2M | $3.5M | $2.9M | $2.7M |
| YoY Change | -9.5% | -18.0% | -16.2% | -6.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $3.0M | $2.2M | $1.8M | $1.6M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.9M | $4.2M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.69M to $5.16M
31.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.56M to $3.40M
67.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800000 | $4.69M | $2.76M | -41.1% |
| Tract 320001 | $5.46M | $3.07M | -43.8% |
| Tract 200008 | $5.93M | $3.58M | -39.6% |
| Tract 960005 | $6.59M | $4.53M | -31.2% |
| Tract 480006 | $6.70M | $3.83M | -42.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960005 | $6.59M | $4.53M | -31.2% |
| Tract 200008 | $5.93M | $3.58M | -39.6% |
| Tract 800000 | $4.69M | $2.76M | -41.1% |
| Tract 480006 | $6.70M | $3.83M | -42.8% |
| Tract 320001 | $5.46M | $3.07M | -43.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200008 | $5.93M | $3.58M | $1.41M |
| Tract 480006 | $6.70M | $3.83M | $1.86M |
| Tract 320001 | $5.46M | $3.07M | $2.05M |
| Tract 960005 | $6.59M | $4.53M | $2.21M |
| Tract 800000 | $4.69M | $2.76M | $2.36M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources