Black Hawk, IA · ZIP 50651 · Census Tract 19013002902 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$174K
Downside (P10)
$152K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$184K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$228K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +31%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Black Hawk markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $116K | $116K | $124K | $125K | $124K | $135K | $139K | $143K | $157K | $168K | $170K | $174K | $180K | $185K | $184K |
| YoY Change | -0.2% | +7.3% | +0.1% | -0.2% | +8.3% | +3.6% | +2.4% | +9.7% | +7.5% | +1.2% | +2.1% | +3.3% | +2.9% | -0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $160K | $157K | $155K | $152K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $199K | $205K | $219K | $228K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$162K to $184K
13.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$152K to $228K
41.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waterloo | $187K | $209K | +11.8% |
| Waterloo | $161K | $171K | +6.5% |
| Cedar Falls | $188K | $200K | +6.1% |
| Evansdale | $155K | $162K | +4.3% |
| Waterloo | $195K | $211K | +8.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barclay area | $262K | $310K | +18.4% |
| Cedar Falls | $307K | $357K | +16.5% |
| Cedar Falls | $228K | $264K | +15.7% |
| Waterloo | $205K | $235K | +15.0% |
| Cedar Falls area | $401K | $460K | +14.6% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources