County 20210, KS · Census Tract 20210640007 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$713K
Downside (P10)
$359K
-50% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$664K
-7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.18M
+65% by 2030
Base case: -7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -50% to +65%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 20210 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $713K | $706K | $642K | $628K | $664K |
| YoY Change | -1.0% | -9.1% | -2.1% | +5.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $456K | $373K | $336K | $359K | |
| Upside (P90) | $999K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$570K to $944K
52.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$359K to $1.18M
123.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480005 | $672K | $677K | +0.7% |
| Tract 320000 | $807K | $660K | -18.2% |
| Tract 200007 | $839K | $742K | -11.5% |
| Tract 160008 | $852K | $680K | -20.2% |
| Tract 960004 | $857K | $746K | -13.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 600005 | $567K | $583K | +2.9% |
| Tract 480005 | $672K | $677K | +0.7% |
| Tract 080007 | $424K | $397K | -6.4% |
| Tract 200007 | $839K | $742K | -11.5% |
| Tract 800009 | $881K | $769K | -12.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080007 | $424K | $397K | $612K |
| Tract 600005 | $567K | $583K | $720K |
| Tract 480005 | $672K | $677K | $730K |
| Tract 840001 | $858K | $676K | $828K |
| Tract 960004 | $857K | $746K | $886K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources