County 21968, KY · Census Tract 21968200222 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.05M
Downside (P10)
$894K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.36M
+30% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.83M
+74% by 2030
Base case: +30% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +74%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 21968 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.0M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.4M |
| YoY Change | +11.4% | +2.1% | +3.5% | +10.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $918K | $884K | $879K | $894K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$937K to $1.18M
23.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$894K to $1.83M
68.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200882 | $1.05M | $1.45M | +38.5% |
| Tract 200264 | $1.04M | $1.41M | +35.9% |
| Tract 201001 | $1.05M | $1.43M | +36.0% |
| Tract 201506 | $1.04M | $1.41M | +35.4% |
| Tract 201302 | $1.06M | $1.46M | +38.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 100128 | $1.23M | $1.79M | +45.5% |
| Tract 201386 | $1.06M | $1.51M | +43.0% |
| Tract 201263 | $995K | $1.39M | +40.0% |
| Tract 200468 | $1.01M | $1.41M | +39.9% |
| Tract 200882 | $1.05M | $1.45M | +38.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200785 | $1.00M | $1.27M | $782K |
| Tract 200989 | $994K | $1.32M | $794K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources