County 22295, LA · Census Tract 22295001164 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$724K
Downside (P10)
$291K
-60% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$613K
-15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.26M
+74% by 2030
Base case: -15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -60% to +74%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 22295 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $724K | $689K | $643K | $593K | $613K |
| YoY Change | -4.8% | -6.6% | -7.8% | +3.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $410K | $311K | $262K | $291K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$517K to $917K
55.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$291K to $1.26M
158.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001041 | $726K | $650K | -10.4% |
| Tract 000589 | $722K | $698K | -3.2% |
| Tract 000563 | $730K | $704K | -3.6% |
| Tract 000864 | $717K | $592K | -17.4% |
| Tract 001025 | $731K | $694K | -5.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000068 | $142K | $218K | +53.2% |
| Tract 000440 | $693K | $684K | -1.4% |
| Tract 000589 | $722K | $698K | -3.2% |
| Tract 000563 | $730K | $704K | -3.6% |
| Tract 001025 | $731K | $694K | -5.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000068 | $142K | $218K | $200K |
| Tract 000961 | $733K | $641K | $804K |
| Tract 001041 | $726K | $650K | $879K |
| Tract 001180 | $744K | $638K | $887K |
| Tract 000563 | $730K | $704K | $892K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources