County 22353, LA · Census Tract 22353001161 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$483K
Downside (P10)
$441K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$683K
+41% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.17M
+142% by 2030
Base case: +41% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +142%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22353 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $483K | $545K | $583K | $637K | $683K |
| YoY Change | +13.0% | +6.8% | +9.3% | +7.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $435K | $428K | $427K | $441K | |
| Upside (P90) | $780K | $875K | $979K | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$427K to $599K
35.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$441K to $1.17M
106.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000900 | $484K | $663K | +37.1% |
| Tract 003826 | $482K | $680K | +41.3% |
| Tract 004142 | $484K | $698K | +44.0% |
| Tract 004540 | $487K | $640K | +31.4% |
| Tract 004401 | $478K | $666K | +39.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000764 | $59K | $92K | +54.1% |
| Tract 003208 | $536K | $823K | +53.6% |
| Tract 004207 | $475K | $725K | +52.7% |
| Tract 000625 | $502K | $763K | +51.9% |
| Tract 004621 | $512K | $769K | +50.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000764 | $59K | $92K | $134K |
| Tract 004540 | $487K | $640K | $372K |
| Tract 000081 | $505K | $623K | $380K |
| Tract 000900 | $484K | $663K | $407K |
| Tract 001941 | $512K | $687K | $420K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources