County 22430, LA · Census Tract 22430011948 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$365K
Downside (P10)
$292K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$515K
+41% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$920K
+152% by 2030
Base case: +41% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +152%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 22430 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $365K | $414K | $414K | $434K | $515K |
| YoY Change | +13.5% | -0.0% | +4.8% | +18.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $301K | $270K | $264K | $292K | |
| Upside (P90) | $587K | $647K | $736K | $920K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$311K to $444K
36.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$292K to $920K
121.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 017829 | $364K | $444K | +22.0% |
| Tract 015588 | $363K | $570K | +56.9% |
| Tract 018446 | $362K | $456K | +26.0% |
| Tract 015423 | $359K | $522K | +45.3% |
| Tract 015300 | $359K | $681K | +89.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 015245 | $296K | $635K | +114.9% |
| Tract 015083 | $324K | $694K | +114.0% |
| Tract 015122 | $292K | $580K | +98.2% |
| Tract 016422 | $348K | $672K | +93.1% |
| Tract 015300 | $359K | $681K | +89.8% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources