County 22435, LA · Census Tract 22435014843 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$507K
Downside (P10)
$431K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$590K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$811K
+60% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +60%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22435 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $507K | $530K | $530K | $552K | $590K |
| YoY Change | +4.7% | -0.0% | +4.2% | +6.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $447K | $404K | $412K | $431K | |
| Upside (P90) | $633K | $707K | $740K | $811K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$465K to $563K
19.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$431K to $811K
64.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002965 | $508K | $724K | +42.5% |
| Tract 003485 | $505K | $753K | +49.2% |
| Tract 014885 | $510K | $585K | +14.7% |
| Tract 003744 | $510K | $833K | +63.2% |
| Tract 003469 | $499K | $812K | +62.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 150202 | $789K | $1.31M | +66.4% |
| Tract 003744 | $510K | $833K | +63.2% |
| Tract 003469 | $499K | $812K | +62.7% |
| Tract 151366 | $763K | $1.24M | +62.6% |
| Tract 004468 | $434K | $703K | +62.1% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources