County 22295, LA · Census Tract 22295001180 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$744K
Downside (P10)
$300K
-60% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$638K
-14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.19M
+60% by 2030
Base case: -14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -60% to +60%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 22295 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $744K | $742K | $690K | $623K | $638K |
| YoY Change | -0.2% | -7.1% | -9.7% | +2.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $490K | $363K | $308K | $300K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$569K to $1.01M
59.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$300K to $1.19M
139.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001384 | $740K | $678K | -8.3% |
| Tract 001300 | $750K | $657K | -12.5% |
| Tract 001449 | $735K | $601K | -18.2% |
| Tract 001847 | $754K | $694K | -7.9% |
| Tract 001368 | $734K | $604K | -17.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000068 | $142K | $218K | +53.2% |
| Tract 000440 | $693K | $684K | -1.4% |
| Tract 000589 | $722K | $698K | -3.2% |
| Tract 000563 | $730K | $704K | -3.6% |
| Tract 001025 | $731K | $694K | -5.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000068 | $142K | $218K | $200K |
| Tract 000961 | $733K | $641K | $804K |
| Tract 001041 | $726K | $650K | $879K |
| Tract 000563 | $730K | $704K | $892K |
| Tract 001368 | $734K | $604K | $919K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources