County 22353, LA · Census Tract 22353004540 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$487K
Downside (P10)
$465K
-5% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$640K
+31% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$837K
+72% by 2030
Base case: +31% by 2030, with a forecast range from -5% to +72%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 22353 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $487K | $534K | $564K | $596K | $640K |
| YoY Change | +9.6% | +5.6% | +5.7% | +7.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $446K | $438K | $437K | $465K | |
| Upside (P90) | $645K | $700K | $746K | $837K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$431K to $560K
26.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$465K to $837K
58.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004142 | $484K | $698K | +44.0% |
| Tract 000900 | $484K | $663K | +37.1% |
| Tract 003606 | $491K | $725K | +47.6% |
| Tract 001161 | $483K | $683K | +41.4% |
| Tract 003826 | $482K | $680K | +41.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000764 | $59K | $92K | +54.1% |
| Tract 003208 | $536K | $823K | +53.6% |
| Tract 004207 | $475K | $725K | +52.7% |
| Tract 000625 | $502K | $763K | +51.9% |
| Tract 004621 | $512K | $769K | +50.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000764 | $59K | $92K | $134K |
| Tract 000081 | $505K | $623K | $380K |
| Tract 000900 | $484K | $663K | $407K |
| Tract 001941 | $512K | $687K | $420K |
| Tract 004142 | $484K | $698K | $428K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources