County 22687, LA · Census Tract 22687004106 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$676K
Downside (P10)
$616K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$914K
+35% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.43M
+111% by 2030
Base case: +35% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +111%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22687 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $676K | $762K | $803K | $853K | $914K |
| YoY Change | +12.6% | +5.5% | +6.2% | +7.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $638K | $616K | $618K | $616K | |
| Upside (P90) | $946K | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$614K to $778K
24.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$616K to $1.43M
88.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004025 | $675K | $912K | +35.2% |
| Tract 003521 | $682K | $858K | +25.9% |
| Tract 002726 | $664K | $853K | +28.4% |
| Tract 004229 | $689K | $1.04M | +50.7% |
| Tract 004245 | $658K | $946K | +43.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002441 | $501K | $909K | +81.5% |
| Tract 002344 | $486K | $850K | +74.7% |
| Tract 000689 | $449K | $776K | +72.9% |
| Tract 001581 | $464K | $793K | +70.8% |
| Tract 000621 | $459K | $780K | +70.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000867 | $447K | $646K | $458K |
| Tract 000980 | $516K | $728K | $491K |
| Tract 001183 | $449K | $593K | $514K |
| Tract 001442 | $449K | $763K | $547K |
| Tract 001400 | $418K | $683K | $556K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources