County 22688, LA · Census Tract 22688003083 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$491K
Downside (P10)
$444K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$738K
+50% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.31M
+167% by 2030
Base case: +50% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +167%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22688 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $491K | $573K | $606K | $646K | $738K |
| YoY Change | +16.8% | +5.7% | +6.7% | +14.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $415K | $398K | $403K | $444K | |
| Upside (P90) | $795K | $918K | $1.1M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$431K to $637K
41.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$444K to $1.31M
117.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002408 | $486K | $613K | +26.2% |
| Tract 003067 | $482K | $616K | +27.8% |
| Tract 002660 | $502K | $715K | +42.6% |
| Tract 002628 | $504K | $636K | +26.1% |
| Tract 002327 | $475K | $612K | +28.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002929 | $632K | $982K | +55.4% |
| Tract 002563 | $545K | $799K | +46.5% |
| Tract 003449 | $744K | $1.08M | +45.0% |
| Tract 002288 | $554K | $799K | +44.4% |
| Tract 003122 | $536K | $767K | +43.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002440 | $453K | $580K | $336K |
| Tract 003067 | $482K | $616K | $374K |
| Tract 002327 | $475K | $612K | $384K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources