County 22945, LA · Census Tract 22945010421 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$550K
Downside (P10)
$317K
-42% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$533K
-3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$845K
+54% by 2030
Base case: -3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -42% to +54%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22945 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $550K | $559K | $523K | $520K | $533K |
| YoY Change | +1.6% | -6.4% | -0.6% | +2.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $394K | $339K | $308K | $317K | |
| Upside (P90) | $744K | $737K | $791K | $845K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$437K to $688K
45.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$317K to $845K
99.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 010560 | $553K | $582K | +5.2% |
| Tract 010502 | $541K | $578K | +6.8% |
| Tract 010308 | $559K | $579K | +3.6% |
| Tract 010324 | $561K | $538K | -4.2% |
| Tract 010942 | $538K | $566K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 012364 | $611K | $1.14M | +85.6% |
| Tract 012241 | $655K | $1.07M | +63.3% |
| Tract 012306 | $604K | $955K | +58.0% |
| Tract 012403 | $633K | $991K | +56.4% |
| Tract 012542 | $701K | $1.08M | +54.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000101 | $344K | $432K | $369K |
| Tract 000509 | $346K | $438K | $399K |
| Tract 000787 | $386K | $447K | $399K |
| Tract 000826 | $336K | $464K | $413K |
| Tract 001045 | $345K | $456K | $423K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources