County 22455, LA · Census Tract 22455701107 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.01M
Downside (P10)
$962K
-5% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.37M
+36% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.95M
+93% by 2030
Base case: +36% by 2030, with a forecast range from -5% to +93%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22455 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.0M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.4M |
| YoY Change | +14.9% | +2.0% | +1.2% | +14.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $943K | $914K | $888K | $962K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.7M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$884K to $1.21M
32.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$962K to $1.95M
72.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 700823 | $997K | $1.36M | +36.0% |
| Tract 700548 | $1.03M | $1.48M | +43.3% |
| Tract 700629 | $987K | $1.37M | +38.5% |
| Tract 700344 | $1.04M | $1.35M | +30.5% |
| Tract 701288 | $1.05M | $1.42M | +35.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 700548 | $1.03M | $1.48M | +43.3% |
| Tract 700768 | $933K | $1.30M | +39.5% |
| Tract 700629 | $987K | $1.37M | +38.5% |
| Tract 700823 | $997K | $1.36M | +36.0% |
| Tract 701288 | $1.05M | $1.42M | +35.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 700386 | $1.35M | $1.53M | $841K |
| Tract 700687 | $1.39M | $1.61M | $874K |
| Tract 700768 | $933K | $1.30M | $880K |
| Tract 700784 | $1.08M | $1.39M | $895K |
| Tract 000109 | $1.23M | $1.02M | $902K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources