County 25334, MA · Census Tract 25334001569 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.68M
Downside (P10)
$907K
-66% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.63M
-39% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.07M
-23% by 2030
Base case: -39% by 2030, with a forecast range from -66% to -23%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 25334 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.7M | $2.5M | $2.1M | $1.7M | $1.6M |
| YoY Change | -6.8% | -17.0% | -16.3% | -6.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.5M | $1.2M | $971K | $907K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.9M | $2.5M | $2.2M | $2.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.83M to $3.00M
43.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$907K to $2.07M
71.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001323 | $2.72M | $1.79M | -34.3% |
| Tract 000502 | $2.77M | $1.69M | -38.9% |
| Tract 001446 | $2.78M | $1.87M | -32.7% |
| Tract 001860 | $2.51M | $1.76M | -30.0% |
| Tract 001200 | $2.88M | $1.88M | -34.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000065 | $1.29M | $1.00M | -22.6% |
| Tract 001381 | $2.39M | $1.78M | -25.7% |
| Tract 000188 | $1.48M | $1.10M | -25.9% |
| Tract 000366 | $2.28M | $1.67M | -27.1% |
| Tract 000748 | $2.94M | $2.12M | -27.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000065 | $1.29M | $1.00M | $915K |
| Tract 000667 | $2.20M | $1.53M | $1.03M |
| Tract 000489 | $2.40M | $1.67M | $1.03M |
| Tract 000366 | $2.28M | $1.67M | $1.04M |
| Tract 000748 | $2.94M | $2.12M | $1.06M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources