County 25568, MA · Census Tract 25568001869 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.60M
Downside (P10)
$1.16M
-27% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.53M
-4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.95M
+22% by 2030
Base case: -4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -27% to +22%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 25568 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.5M |
| YoY Change | +3.4% | -4.0% | -4.6% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.2M | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.9M | $1.9M | $1.8M | $1.9M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.48M to $1.76M
18.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.16M to $1.95M
51.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001021 | $1.60M | $1.53M | -4.3% |
| Tract 001445 | $1.59M | $1.45M | -8.4% |
| Tract 002266 | $1.58M | $1.50M | -5.4% |
| Tract 001746 | $1.58M | $1.73M | +9.8% |
| Tract 001047 | $1.57M | $1.49M | -5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 701567 | $660K | $961K | +45.5% |
| Tract 700429 | $601K | $857K | +42.5% |
| Tract 701884 | $642K | $911K | +41.8% |
| Tract 010342 | $486K | $686K | +41.3% |
| Tract 701606 | $564K | $790K | +40.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 010203 | $494K | $628K | $422K |
| Tract 010122 | $486K | $585K | $430K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources