County 25305, MA · Census Tract 25305001721 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$299K
Downside (P10)
$252K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$381K
+28% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$569K
+90% by 2030
Base case: +28% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +90%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 25305 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $299K | $342K | $348K | $356K | $381K |
| YoY Change | +14.3% | +2.0% | +2.2% | +7.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $274K | $253K | $251K | $252K | |
| Upside (P90) | $429K | $469K | $501K | $569K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$262K to $359K
32.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$252K to $569K
83.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000104 | $299K | $435K | +45.9% |
| Tract 000023 | $298K | $399K | +33.9% |
| Tract 000421 | $300K | $422K | +40.5% |
| Tract 002047 | $300K | $425K | +41.5% |
| Tract 001789 | $297K | $419K | +41.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003046 | $271K | $404K | +48.9% |
| Tract 001967 | $297K | $439K | +48.1% |
| Tract 002665 | $293K | $432K | +47.3% |
| Tract 000544 | $251K | $369K | +46.9% |
| Tract 002924 | $288K | $423K | +46.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001365 | $264K | $360K | $274K |
| Tract 000887 | $256K | $355K | $281K |
| Tract 001666 | $259K | $375K | $284K |
| Tract 001501 | $259K | $341K | $284K |
| Tract 000421 | $300K | $422K | $285K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources