County 25778, MA · Census Tract 25778030125 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.25M
Downside (P10)
$428K
-66% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$810K
-35% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.32M
+5% by 2030
Base case: -35% by 2030, with a forecast range from -66% to +5%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 25778 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.3M | $1.2M | $966K | $840K | $810K |
| YoY Change | -7.7% | -16.5% | -13.0% | -3.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $682K | $536K | $464K | $428K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$868K to $1.54M
53.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$428K to $1.32M
110.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 030167 | $1.25M | $887K | -29.3% |
| Tract 031247 | $1.25M | $1.65M | +31.3% |
| Tract 000249 | $1.26M | $966K | -23.1% |
| Tract 010226 | $1.26M | $809K | -35.8% |
| Tract 030604 | $1.25M | $887K | -28.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 031221 | $1.07M | $1.47M | +36.3% |
| Tract 031166 | $1.09M | $1.47M | +34.8% |
| Tract 031409 | $1.09M | $1.47M | +34.4% |
| Tract 030743 | $1.10M | $1.47M | +34.2% |
| Tract 031027 | $1.34M | $1.76M | +31.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 041363 | $1.41M | $1.19M | $437K |
| Tract 041169 | $1.33M | $1.26M | $629K |
| Tract 041583 | $1.39M | $1.31M | $645K |
| Tract 041648 | $1.41M | $1.33M | $714K |
| Tract 041622 | $1.40M | $1.49M | $766K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources