County 25115, MA · Census Tract 25115000501 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.12M
Downside (P10)
$1.78M
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.29M
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.87M
+35% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +35%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 25115 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.1M | $2.3M | $2.3M | $2.2M | $2.3M |
| YoY Change | +10.4% | -3.7% | -1.6% | +3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.0M | $1.9M | $1.8M | $1.8M | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.6M | $2.6M | $2.7M | $2.9M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.96M to $2.28M
15.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.78M to $2.87M
47.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000828 | $1.98M | $2.22M | +12.0% |
| Tract 000187 | $1.96M | $1.69M | -13.9% |
| Tract 000446 | $1.85M | $1.76M | -4.4% |
| Tract 000682 | $1.84M | $2.20M | +19.4% |
| Tract 000462 | $1.78M | $1.61M | -9.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000488 | $572K | $770K | +34.6% |
| Tract 000682 | $1.84M | $2.20M | +19.4% |
| Tract 000828 | $1.98M | $2.22M | +12.0% |
| Tract 000103 | $1.41M | $1.36M | -3.9% |
| Tract 000446 | $1.85M | $1.76M | -4.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000462 | $1.78M | $1.61M | $401K |
| Tract 000488 | $572K | $770K | $500K |
| Tract 000284 | $1.55M | $1.33M | $554K |
| Tract 000103 | $1.41M | $1.36M | $570K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources