County 25735, MA · Census Tract 25735000622 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$427K
Downside (P10)
$277K
-35% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$485K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$884K
+107% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -35% to +107%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 25735 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $427K | $456K | $464K | $457K | $485K |
| YoY Change | +6.7% | +1.8% | -1.5% | +6.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $334K | $292K | $269K | $277K | |
| Upside (P90) | $653K | $733K | $741K | $884K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$348K to $536K
44.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$277K to $884K
125.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000460 | $415K | $502K | +21.0% |
| Tract 002028 | $410K | $482K | +17.5% |
| Tract 000321 | $408K | $480K | +17.8% |
| Tract 000949 | $400K | $502K | +25.5% |
| Tract 001485 | $399K | $512K | +28.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000842 | $390K | $541K | +38.9% |
| Tract 001508 | $383K | $518K | +35.4% |
| Tract 000444 | $392K | $529K | +35.0% |
| Tract 000402 | $383K | $509K | +32.9% |
| Tract 000282 | $374K | $496K | +32.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000567 | $372K | $483K | $464K |
| Tract 001304 | $393K | $477K | $464K |
| Tract 001906 | $392K | $491K | $476K |
| Tract 001508 | $383K | $518K | $497K |
| Tract 002109 | $369K | $475K | $500K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources