County 25891, MA · Census Tract 25891700769 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$540K
Downside (P10)
$493K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$795K
+47% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.22M
+126% by 2030
Base case: +47% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +126%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 25891 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $540K | $621K | $653K | $696K | $795K |
| YoY Change | +14.9% | +5.2% | +6.5% | +14.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $499K | $470K | $472K | $493K | |
| Upside (P90) | $799K | $882K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$487K to $648K
29.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$493K to $1.22M
91.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 701247 | $541K | $755K | +39.6% |
| Tract 701409 | $539K | $765K | +41.9% |
| Tract 700921 | $542K | $784K | +44.7% |
| Tract 701221 | $543K | $730K | +34.5% |
| Tract 701166 | $546K | $760K | +39.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 700549 | $586K | $871K | +48.7% |
| Tract 000469 | $658K | $962K | +46.2% |
| Tract 000388 | $547K | $793K | +45.1% |
| Tract 700921 | $542K | $784K | +44.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 700044 | $507K | $647K | $553K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources