County 25892, MA · Census Tract 25892015343 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.15M
Downside (P10)
$986K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.38M
+20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.87M
+62% by 2030
Base case: +20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +62%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 25892 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
| YoY Change | +2.4% | +1.3% | +10.4% | +4.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.0M | $944K | $967K | $986K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.7M | $1.9M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.06M to $1.28M
19.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$986K to $1.87M
64.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 015327 | $1.10M | $1.38M | +26.2% |
| Tract 011046 | $1.24M | $1.55M | +25.4% |
| Tract 011224 | $1.26M | $1.58M | +26.0% |
| Tract 011321 | $1.03M | $1.35M | +30.8% |
| Tract 012948 | $1.56M | $2.12M | +36.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 015408 | $173K | $281K | +61.8% |
| Tract 016164 | $180K | $284K | +57.8% |
| Tract 012485 | $176K | $274K | +55.5% |
| Tract 013523 | $302K | $469K | +55.0% |
| Tract 015246 | $194K | $301K | +54.8% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources