County 25895, MA · Census Tract 25895120345 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$890K
Downside (P10)
$295K
-67% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$686K
-23% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.18M
+32% by 2030
Base case: -23% by 2030, with a forecast range from -67% to +32%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 25895 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $890K | $832K | $753K | $707K | $686K |
| YoY Change | -6.5% | -9.5% | -6.0% | -3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $481K | $369K | $273K | $295K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$593K to $1.16M
64.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$295K to $1.18M
128.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 120361 | $881K | $632K | -28.2% |
| Tract 002447 | $901K | $767K | -14.9% |
| Tract 002861 | $873K | $822K | -5.9% |
| Tract 002544 | $872K | $763K | -12.5% |
| Tract 120646 | $913K | $781K | -14.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 111008 | $697K | $905K | +29.9% |
| Tract 110164 | $705K | $888K | +26.0% |
| Tract 129126 | $723K | $910K | +25.9% |
| Tract 129168 | $725K | $909K | +25.3% |
| Tract 110902 | $702K | $877K | +25.1% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources