County 25560, MA · Census Tract 25560001388 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$4.82M
Downside (P10)
$1.68M
-65% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.76M
-43% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.43M
-29% by 2030
Base case: -43% by 2030, with a forecast range from -65% to -29%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 25560 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.8M | $4.5M | $3.7M | $3.0M | $2.8M |
| YoY Change | -6.9% | -18.6% | -17.9% | -7.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $3.2M | $2.4M | $1.9M | $1.7M | |
| Upside (P90) | $5.2M | $4.4M | $3.7M | $3.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.63M to $5.26M
33.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.68M to $3.43M
63.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000842 | $4.73M | $2.92M | -38.2% |
| Tract 001087 | $4.73M | $2.73M | -42.2% |
| Tract 000745 | $4.69M | $2.50M | -46.5% |
| Tract 000907 | $4.66M | $2.57M | -44.9% |
| Tract 000981 | $4.63M | $3.15M | -32.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000981 | $4.63M | $3.15M | -32.0% |
| Tract 001265 | $3.81M | $2.55M | -33.0% |
| Tract 000949 | $3.86M | $2.48M | -35.6% |
| Tract 001362 | $3.70M | $2.30M | -37.8% |
| Tract 001029 | $3.87M | $2.40M | -38.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001265 | $3.81M | $2.55M | $1.42M |
| Tract 001346 | $3.77M | $2.16M | $1.48M |
| Tract 000868 | $3.68M | $2.00M | $1.49M |
| Tract 000949 | $3.86M | $2.48M | $1.50M |
| Tract 000745 | $4.69M | $2.50M | $1.56M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources