County 25940, MA · Census Tract 25940000608 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$736K
Downside (P10)
$459K
-38% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$799K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.36M
+85% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -38% to +85%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 25940 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $736K | $790K | $779K | $763K | $799K |
| YoY Change | +7.3% | -1.3% | -2.1% | +4.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $591K | $485K | $448K | $459K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$609K to $968K
48.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$459K to $1.36M
113.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000666 | $755K | $841K | +11.4% |
| Tract 000022 | $759K | $1.03M | +35.7% |
| Tract 000909 | $770K | $1.14M | +48.0% |
| Tract 000268 | $777K | $1.02M | +31.3% |
| Tract 000828 | $784K | $1.19M | +51.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000828 | $784K | $1.19M | +51.9% |
| Tract 000488 | $946K | $1.41M | +49.3% |
| Tract 000909 | $770K | $1.14M | +48.0% |
| Tract 000747 | $838K | $1.22M | +45.2% |
| Tract 000022 | $759K | $1.03M | +35.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000666 | $755K | $841K | $1.05M |
| Tract 000624 | $848K | $847K | $1.06M |
| Tract 000705 | $891K | $869K | $1.09M |
| Tract 000721 | $881K | $966K | $1.15M |
| Tract 000145 | $817K | $920K | $1.24M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources