County 24479, MD · Census Tract 24479940007 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$719K
Downside (P10)
$345K
-52% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$689K
-4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.23M
+71% by 2030
Base case: -4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -52% to +71%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 24479 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $719K | $721K | $660K | $648K | $689K |
| YoY Change | +0.2% | -8.5% | -1.9% | +6.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $416K | $354K | $326K | $345K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$577K to $904K
45.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$345K to $1.23M
128.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680008 | $739K | $853K | +15.5% |
| Tract 200006 | $560K | $643K | +14.8% |
| Tract 760009 | $478K | $634K | +32.7% |
| Tract 160007 | $445K | $604K | +35.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160007 | $445K | $604K | +35.8% |
| Tract 760009 | $478K | $634K | +32.7% |
| Tract 680008 | $739K | $853K | +15.5% |
| Tract 200006 | $560K | $643K | +14.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760009 | $478K | $634K | $573K |
| Tract 160007 | $445K | $604K | $601K |
| Tract 200006 | $560K | $643K | $712K |
| Tract 680008 | $739K | $853K | $1.04M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources