County 24159, MD · Census Tract 24159000144 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$540K
Downside (P10)
$360K
-33% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$638K
+18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.06M
+95% by 2030
Base case: +18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -33% to +95%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 24159 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $540K | $546K | $548K | $582K | $638K |
| YoY Change | +1.1% | +0.5% | +6.2% | +9.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $368K | $336K | $335K | $360K | |
| Upside (P90) | $725K | $828K | $902K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$426K to $703K
51.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$360K to $1.06M
108.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 111364 | $539K | $577K | +7.0% |
| Tract 000225 | $541K | $552K | +2.2% |
| Tract 111021 | $538K | $561K | +4.3% |
| Tract 000403 | $537K | $590K | +9.9% |
| Tract 111584 | $537K | $516K | -3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200427 | $290K | $586K | +102.1% |
| Tract 202467 | $301K | $584K | +94.2% |
| Tract 202386 | $272K | $519K | +90.8% |
| Tract 201002 | $283K | $537K | +89.7% |
| Tract 202506 | $268K | $507K | +89.5% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources