County 24207, MD · Census Tract 24207203440 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$285K
Downside (P10)
$278K
-2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$365K
+28% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$463K
+63% by 2030
Base case: +28% by 2030, with a forecast range from -2% to +63%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 24207 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $285K | $310K | $331K | $357K | $365K |
| YoY Change | +8.9% | +6.7% | +7.9% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $261K | $259K | $270K | $278K | |
| Upside (P90) | $383K | $413K | $452K | $463K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$245K to $340K
33.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$278K to $463K
50.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 203563 | $286K | $358K | +25.3% |
| Tract 200168 | $286K | $437K | +52.7% |
| Tract 204863 | $286K | $423K | +47.8% |
| Tract 202807 | $286K | $519K | +81.3% |
| Tract 202946 | $286K | $393K | +37.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200427 | $290K | $586K | +102.1% |
| Tract 202467 | $301K | $584K | +94.2% |
| Tract 202386 | $272K | $519K | +90.8% |
| Tract 201002 | $283K | $537K | +89.7% |
| Tract 202506 | $268K | $507K | +89.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 203767 | $255K | $318K | $149K |
| Tract 203945 | $250K | $319K | $164K |
| Tract 204326 | $282K | $353K | $166K |
| Tract 203848 | $292K | $367K | $172K |
| Tract 203864 | $290K | $342K | $174K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources