County 24705, MD · Census Tract 24705501165 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$672K
Downside (P10)
$264K
-61% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$637K
-5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.31M
+95% by 2030
Base case: -5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -61% to +95%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 24705 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $672K | $690K | $646K | $602K | $637K |
| YoY Change | +2.7% | -6.4% | -6.8% | +5.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $375K | $309K | $266K | $264K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$480K to $897K
62.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$264K to $1.31M
163.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 502546 | $673K | $724K | +7.6% |
| Tract 500124 | $673K | $668K | -0.7% |
| Tract 500386 | $674K | $747K | +10.7% |
| Tract 501660 | $679K | $675K | -0.5% |
| Tract 202260 | $663K | $892K | +34.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000200 | $236K | $377K | +59.6% |
| Tract 000488 | $241K | $355K | +47.6% |
| Tract 200327 | $824K | $1.17M | +42.5% |
| Tract 200563 | $727K | $987K | +35.7% |
| Tract 200806 | $756K | $1.02M | +35.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000200 | $236K | $377K | $259K |
| Tract 000488 | $241K | $355K | $271K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources