County 24745, MD · Census Tract 24745004169 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$883K
Downside (P10)
$698K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.13M
+28% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.83M
+107% by 2030
Base case: +28% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +107%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 24745 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $883K | $971K | $979K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | +9.9% | +0.8% | +5.6% | +9.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $784K | $686K | $675K | $698K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$798K to $1.04M
27.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$698K to $1.83M
100.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005045 | $880K | $1.18M | +34.2% |
| Tract 004363 | $876K | $1.16M | +32.8% |
| Tract 004664 | $874K | $1.26M | +44.2% |
| Tract 004826 | $856K | $1.20M | +40.7% |
| Tract 005061 | $916K | $1.28M | +39.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004884 | $936K | $1.35M | +44.8% |
| Tract 008961 | $1.19M | $1.71M | +44.4% |
| Tract 004664 | $874K | $1.26M | +44.2% |
| Tract 007467 | $1.05M | $1.50M | +43.1% |
| Tract 007263 | $723K | $1.02M | +41.0% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources