County 24767, MD · Census Tract 24767508300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$842K
Downside (P10)
$414K
-51% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$812K
-4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.36M
+62% by 2030
Base case: -4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -51% to +62%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 24767 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $842K | $900K | $839K | $785K | $812K |
| YoY Change | +6.9% | -6.8% | -6.4% | +3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $589K | $505K | $415K | $414K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$682K to $1.09M
48.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$414K to $1.36M
116.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 509309 | $848K | $985K | +16.1% |
| Tract 510165 | $857K | $980K | +14.3% |
| Tract 509024 | $810K | $733K | -9.5% |
| Tract 510068 | $782K | $747K | -4.5% |
| Tract 510084 | $920K | $877K | -4.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 509309 | $848K | $985K | +16.1% |
| Tract 510165 | $857K | $980K | +14.3% |
| Tract 510262 | $608K | $674K | +10.9% |
| Tract 510220 | $643K | $710K | +10.4% |
| Tract 508643 | $629K | $678K | +7.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 509668 | $594K | $625K | $658K |
| Tract 510262 | $608K | $674K | $701K |
| Tract 508643 | $629K | $678K | $733K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources