County 24745, MD · Census Tract 24745004363 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$876K
Downside (P10)
$705K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.16M
+33% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.74M
+99% by 2030
Base case: +33% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +99%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 24745 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $876K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | +15.2% | +4.6% | +4.9% | +5.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $759K | $736K | $715K | $705K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$776K to $1.03M
28.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$705K to $1.74M
89.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004664 | $874K | $1.26M | +44.2% |
| Tract 005045 | $880K | $1.18M | +34.2% |
| Tract 004169 | $883K | $1.13M | +27.6% |
| Tract 004826 | $856K | $1.20M | +40.7% |
| Tract 005867 | $845K | $1.07M | +26.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004884 | $936K | $1.35M | +44.8% |
| Tract 008961 | $1.19M | $1.71M | +44.4% |
| Tract 004664 | $874K | $1.26M | +44.2% |
| Tract 007467 | $1.05M | $1.50M | +43.1% |
| Tract 007263 | $723K | $1.02M | +41.0% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources