County 24670, MD · Census Tract 24670001185 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$772K
Downside (P10)
$743K
-4% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$993K
+29% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.38M
+79% by 2030
Base case: +29% by 2030, with a forecast range from -4% to +79%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 24670 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $772K | $834K | $874K | $919K | $993K |
| YoY Change | +8.0% | +4.8% | +5.2% | +8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $698K | $678K | $696K | $743K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$651K to $909K
33.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$743K to $1.38M
64.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000283 | $769K | $960K | +24.8% |
| Tract 000704 | $776K | $945K | +21.7% |
| Tract 000102 | $777K | $895K | +15.1% |
| Tract 000225 | $780K | $916K | +17.4% |
| Tract 001363 | $780K | $930K | +19.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000209 | $649K | $927K | +42.9% |
| Tract 001282 | $639K | $894K | +40.0% |
| Tract 001402 | $641K | $889K | +38.6% |
| Tract 001101 | $627K | $849K | +35.4% |
| Tract 000283 | $769K | $960K | +24.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001101 | $627K | $849K | $557K |
| Tract 000665 | $827K | $1.03M | $569K |
| Tract 000186 | $798K | $954K | $585K |
| Tract 001402 | $641K | $889K | $594K |
| Tract 001363 | $780K | $930K | $628K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources