County 23946, ME · Census Tract 23946004257 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$806K
Downside (P10)
$347K
-57% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$739K
-8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.41M
+75% by 2030
Base case: -8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -57% to +75%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 23946 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $806K | $850K | $768K | $721K | $739K |
| YoY Change | +5.4% | -9.6% | -6.1% | +2.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $483K | $390K | $339K | $347K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$597K to $1.11M
63.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$347K to $1.41M
144.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005557 | $826K | $735K | -11.1% |
| Tract 005654 | $781K | $659K | -15.7% |
| Tract 004804 | $775K | $704K | -9.2% |
| Tract 006307 | $773K | $771K | -0.2% |
| Tract 003902 | $748K | $786K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 008800 | $414K | $573K | +38.3% |
| Tract 010555 | $487K | $614K | +25.9% |
| Tract 002851 | $415K | $513K | +23.7% |
| Tract 002709 | $631K | $766K | +21.4% |
| Tract 001904 | $738K | $895K | +21.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 008800 | $414K | $573K | $613K |
| Tract 009003 | $497K | $577K | $639K |
| Tract 009553 | $488K | $569K | $652K |
| Tract 010555 | $487K | $614K | $664K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources