County 23973, ME · Census Tract 23973492269 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$438K
Downside (P10)
$297K
-32% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$518K
+18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$885K
+102% by 2030
Base case: +18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -32% to +102%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 23973 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $438K | $454K | $455K | $479K | $518K |
| YoY Change | +3.6% | +0.3% | +5.3% | +8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $340K | $299K | $276K | $297K | |
| Upside (P90) | $662K | $694K | $800K | $885K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$362K to $570K
47.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$297K to $885K
113.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 161008 | $438K | $537K | +22.5% |
| Tract 081007 | $444K | $554K | +24.8% |
| Tract 441003 | $432K | $552K | +27.8% |
| Tract 492340 | $453K | $597K | +31.9% |
| Tract 492366 | $453K | $531K | +17.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240000 | $344K | $506K | +47.4% |
| Tract 400002 | $359K | $521K | +44.9% |
| Tract 201007 | $385K | $511K | +32.8% |
| Tract 280002 | $367K | $487K | +32.5% |
| Tract 492340 | $453K | $597K | +31.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400002 | $359K | $521K | $418K |
| Tract 280002 | $367K | $487K | $481K |
| Tract 201007 | $385K | $511K | $487K |
| Tract 240000 | $344K | $506K | $495K |
| Tract 480006 | $380K | $488K | $497K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources