County 26100, MI · Census Tract 26100000049 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.33M
Downside (P10)
$537K
-60% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$999K
-25% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.44M
+8% by 2030
Base case: -25% by 2030, with a forecast range from -60% to +8%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 26100 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.2M | $1.0M | $999K |
| YoY Change | +2.2% | -11.1% | -14.9% | -2.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $882K | $698K | $582K | $537K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.07M to $1.54M
35.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$537K to $1.44M
90.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001022 | $1.31M | $964K | -26.3% |
| Tract 001103 | $1.41M | $1.07M | -24.7% |
| Tract 000489 | $1.47M | $1.12M | -23.7% |
| Tract 000722 | $1.49M | $1.23M | -17.6% |
| Tract 000023 | $1.13M | $874K | -22.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000146 | $992K | $823K | -17.1% |
| Tract 000722 | $1.49M | $1.23M | -17.6% |
| Tract 000641 | $1.53M | $1.24M | -19.3% |
| Tract 000023 | $1.13M | $874K | -22.6% |
| Tract 000489 | $1.47M | $1.12M | -23.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000146 | $992K | $823K | $821K |
| Tract 000722 | $1.49M | $1.23M | $925K |
| Tract 001608 | $1.75M | $1.26M | $943K |
| Tract 000489 | $1.47M | $1.12M | $952K |
| Tract 001543 | $1.97M | $1.41M | $964K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources