County 26140, MI · Census Tract 26140001529 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$660K
Downside (P10)
$314K
-52% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$634K
-4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.11M
+69% by 2030
Base case: -4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -52% to +69%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 26140 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $660K | $670K | $601K | $593K | $634K |
| YoY Change | +1.5% | -10.3% | -1.2% | +6.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $412K | $347K | $321K | $314K | |
| Upside (P90) | $914K | $907K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$526K to $880K
53.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$314K to $1.11M
126.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000782 | $662K | $646K | -2.4% |
| Tract 001260 | $669K | $699K | +4.5% |
| Tract 000164 | $671K | $633K | -5.7% |
| Tract 001189 | $672K | $669K | -0.4% |
| Tract 001121 | $674K | $613K | -9.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001008 | $575K | $676K | +17.6% |
| Tract 000025 | $561K | $649K | +15.7% |
| Tract 001325 | $595K | $675K | +13.5% |
| Tract 000261 | $564K | $617K | +9.5% |
| Tract 001260 | $669K | $699K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000287 | $587K | $608K | $649K |
| Tract 000261 | $564K | $617K | $659K |
| Tract 000025 | $561K | $649K | $690K |
| Tract 001121 | $674K | $613K | $715K |
| Tract 001367 | $691K | $648K | $732K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources