County 26390, MI · Census Tract 26390001308 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$561K
Downside (P10)
$511K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$999K
+78% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.13M
+280% by 2030
Base case: +78% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +280%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 26390 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $561K | $720K | $744K | $830K | $999K |
| YoY Change | +28.3% | +3.4% | +11.6% | +20.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $507K | $493K | $484K | $511K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.8M | $2.1M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$437K to $879K
78.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$511K to $2.13M
162.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001269 | $553K | $787K | +42.4% |
| Tract 000163 | $551K | $949K | +72.3% |
| Tract 001382 | $573K | $1.00M | +75.2% |
| Tract 000888 | $540K | $917K | +69.9% |
| Tract 001861 | $538K | $870K | +61.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001447 | $521K | $920K | +76.5% |
| Tract 001382 | $573K | $1.00M | +75.2% |
| Tract 001829 | $525K | $911K | +73.6% |
| Tract 000163 | $551K | $949K | +72.3% |
| Tract 000888 | $540K | $917K | +69.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000189 | $451K | $536K | $497K |
| Tract 000464 | $454K | $494K | $504K |
| Tract 001243 | $505K | $668K | $506K |
| Tract 000668 | $443K | $550K | $541K |
| Tract 000587 | $432K | $573K | $545K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources