County 27230, MN · Census Tract 27230840000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$356K
Downside (P10)
$269K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$475K
+33% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$845K
+137% by 2030
Base case: +33% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +137%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 27230 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $356K | $402K | $420K | $447K | $475K |
| YoY Change | +12.9% | +4.2% | +6.5% | +6.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $302K | $261K | $254K | $269K | |
| Upside (P90) | $582K | $649K | $684K | $845K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$307K to $466K
44.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$269K to $845K
121.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 040004 | $367K | $447K | +21.8% |
| Tract 720007 | $334K | $398K | +19.0% |
| Tract 160007 | $333K | $463K | +38.8% |
| Tract 600004 | $380K | $523K | +37.7% |
| Tract 240008 | $381K | $479K | +25.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160007 | $333K | $463K | +38.8% |
| Tract 080006 | $325K | $449K | +38.1% |
| Tract 600004 | $380K | $523K | +37.7% |
| Tract 960003 | $307K | $420K | +37.0% |
| Tract 240008 | $381K | $479K | +25.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080006 | $325K | $449K | $422K |
| Tract 960003 | $307K | $420K | $442K |
| Tract 720007 | $334K | $398K | $442K |
| Tract 040004 | $367K | $447K | $472K |
| Tract 160007 | $333K | $463K | $501K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources