County 27746, MN · Census Tract 27746000509 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$610K
Downside (P10)
$605K
-1% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$875K
+43% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.23M
+102% by 2030
Base case: +43% by 2030, with a forecast range from -1% to +102%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 27746 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $610K | $684K | $724K | $785K | $875K |
| YoY Change | +12.2% | +5.8% | +8.4% | +11.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $570K | $547K | $572K | $605K | |
| Upside (P90) | $872K | $987K | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$553K to $722K
27.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$605K to $1.23M
72.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000965 | $607K | $919K | +51.4% |
| Tract 000949 | $606K | $903K | +48.9% |
| Tract 002060 | $614K | $980K | +59.6% |
| Tract 001702 | $615K | $1.02M | +66.0% |
| Tract 001029 | $602K | $892K | +48.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001702 | $615K | $1.02M | +66.0% |
| Tract 002581 | $631K | $1.04M | +64.5% |
| Tract 001605 | $638K | $1.05M | +64.5% |
| Tract 001883 | $625K | $1.02M | +62.7% |
| Tract 003441 | $709K | $1.15M | +61.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000389 | $547K | $782K | $496K |
| Tract 000444 | $594K | $813K | $538K |
| Tract 000282 | $581K | $819K | $547K |
| Tract 000460 | $583K | $831K | $564K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources