County 27220, MN · Census Tract 27220001749 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$671K
Downside (P10)
$308K
-54% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$590K
-12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.01M
+51% by 2030
Base case: -12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -54% to +51%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 27220 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $671K | $691K | $619K | $583K | $590K |
| YoY Change | +3.0% | -10.4% | -5.7% | +1.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $490K | $378K | $317K | $308K | |
| Upside (P90) | $921K | $941K | $965K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$540K to $859K
47.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$308K to $1.01M
119.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001765 | $671K | $605K | -9.9% |
| Tract 000960 | $669K | $629K | -6.0% |
| Tract 000481 | $673K | $601K | -10.7% |
| Tract 000148 | $675K | $588K | -13.0% |
| Tract 001846 | $666K | $606K | -9.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000326 | $600K | $729K | +21.6% |
| Tract 000025 | $621K | $714K | +15.1% |
| Tract 000685 | $618K | $707K | +14.4% |
| Tract 000287 | $633K | $719K | +13.6% |
| Tract 001082 | $646K | $733K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001642 | $625K | $664K | $683K |
| Tract 000588 | $638K | $655K | $705K |
| Tract 000601 | $613K | $680K | $717K |
| Tract 000203 | $651K | $654K | $720K |
| Tract 001309 | $614K | $686K | $721K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources