County 27828, MN · Census Tract 27828000223 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$277K
Downside (P10)
$259K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$393K
+42% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$625K
+125% by 2030
Base case: +42% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +125%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 27828 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $277K | $306K | $327K | $357K | $393K |
| YoY Change | +10.5% | +6.8% | +9.2% | +10.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $246K | $243K | $246K | $259K | |
| Upside (P90) | $395K | $474K | $515K | $625K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$240K to $340K
36.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$259K to $625K
93.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000346 | $283K | $380K | +34.3% |
| Tract 000443 | $265K | $373K | +40.8% |
| Tract 000281 | $261K | $358K | +37.4% |
| Tract 000184 | $246K | $368K | +49.4% |
| Tract 000029 | $204K | $297K | +45.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000184 | $246K | $368K | +49.4% |
| Tract 000029 | $204K | $297K | +45.3% |
| Tract 000443 | $265K | $373K | +40.8% |
| Tract 000281 | $261K | $358K | +37.4% |
| Tract 000346 | $283K | $380K | +34.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000029 | $204K | $297K | $222K |
| Tract 000281 | $261K | $358K | $309K |
| Tract 000184 | $246K | $368K | $341K |
| Tract 000443 | $265K | $373K | $373K |
| Tract 000346 | $283K | $380K | $397K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources